By Alex Cukierman

This ebook surveys the imperfect-information method of inflation and its actual results. kinds of informational problem are thought of. One includes occasions within which contributors have uneven information regarding the present normal fee point and for this reason confuse relative and combination adjustments in costs. the opposite considers events during which contributors can't distinguish everlasting from transitory alterations once they take place, making a transitority yet power confusion among such alterations. the writer provides the arguments in the context of the hot re-evaluations by way of economists of formerly proven perspectives relating inflation and its interplay with genuine phenomena.

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Sample text

One way to limit the detrimental effects of this mechanism is to deny credit to some of those who apply for it at the interest rate set by the bank. Under such circumstances there is an excess demand for loans even when the bank is in equilibrium. An obvious way to eliminate this disequilibrium would be to raise the interest rate. If the detrimental effects of this increase because of the increase it causes in the probability of default ou'tweigh the direct positive effects of the increase on the bank's objective function, however, it will pay the bank to main­ tain the interest rate at the lower level and under some circumstances to grant credit to only some of the applicants, thus rationing credit.

As stressed by Hirschleifer and Riley (1979), any activity is a potential signal if the sellers of higher-quality products can engage in it at higher mar­ ginal returns . Nelson (1974, 1975) offers a similar argument to justify advertising for high-quality goods when repeat purchases are prevalent. By acquiring a pool of satisfied customers, the seller of high-quality goods will achieve lower marginal advertising costs per unit of sales. Even if the information content of the advertising message itself is zero, a message is nevertheless being conveyed: The product is worth promoting.

If such markets did exist, all inside information would immediately have been transmitted to everybody, thus nullifying the incentive to collect costly information. Hence equilibrium in a costly information market requires that there be fewer prices than random events; otherwise there is no incentive to become informed. This notion is discussed more fully in Section 4. To maintain some incentive for becoming informed , Grossman intro­ duces an additional source of uncertainty in the form of a stochastic (for the uninformed) risk-aversion parameter for informed firms.

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