By Raphael A. Espinoza

The economies of the Arab states of the Gulf have undergone huge adjustments within the final decade, spurred by way of excessive oil costs and impressive diversification plans. Large-scale immigration supplied the labour strength whereas capital inflows and fiscal improvement leveraged oil wealth to finance diversification. The cave in in genuine property costs worldwide by means of the worldwide problem slowed development and raised questions about the appropriateness of what has been dubbed the 'GCC model'.

The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) international locations have to date controlled to leverage their huge typical source wealth to accomplish monetary prosperity and finance social advances, and the area additionally emerged as a tremendous resource of money for the opposite international locations within the heart East. however, the GCC face a number of demanding situations. productiveness development needs to elevate to totally take advantage of funding. Jobs has to be created for the nationals and the turning out to be adolescence inhabitants. kingdom intervention (which is conventional, provided that oil sales accrue to the govt) needs to develop into effective and be used to diversify and modernize the economic climate. moreover, the hot predicament highlighted the significance of economic, financial, and monetary balance regulations to regulate macroeconomic cycles. This ebook analyses those concerns and combines facts and econometric research with theoretical discussions. It concludes with a dialogue of the significance of the GCC for the broader area.

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However, this does not imply that the assumptions are innocuous for the diagnostics of growth for individual countries. 4. Investment and growth in the stock of capital Capital stock, cumulative growth rate, in percent Capital stock per worker Capital stock per worker Capital stock per worker Capital stock per worker 1990–2009 in 2005 US$, 1990 in 2005 US$, 2009 in 2005 PPP US$, 1990 (PWT) in 2005 PPP US$, 2009 (PWT) (b) (c) (d) (e) 90,226 69,136 79,058 126,516 83,340 121,156 354,729 309,260 104,010 132,199 151,694 314,910 57,457 231,668 160,663 177,864 207,856 220,616 187,937 45,024 19,786 22,990 120,110 172,024 (a) Bahrain Kuwait Oman Qatar Saudi Arabia UAE Other oil producers (median) Other developing c.

5 for most countries. , estimating equation 1), but such estimations are fraught with difficulties. Simple regressions are incorrect and overestimate α because of the common issue of reverse causality: higher GDP (which results in higher profits) finances investment and therefore a higher capital stock. Disentangling the effect of capital stock on GDP from the reverse effect is difficult. Senhadji (2000) attempted such an estimation using long-term cointegration relationships and a correction for endogenenity.

1999). “The big push, natural resource booms and growth,” Journal of Development Economics, 59: 43–76. —— (2001). “The curse of natural resources,” European Economic Review, 45: 827–38. Setser, B. and Ziemba, R. (2009). ” Center for Geoeconomic Studies, Working Paper. New York: Council on Foreign Relations. 1 Introduction The member countries of the GCC have changed considerably over the last thirty years. The fast development of the region has spurred the creation of new cities, the development of infrastructure, and the expansion of new industries that have attracted capital and a new labor force from around the world.

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