By A. P. Thirlwall (auth.)

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Both methods of approach can be considered if Kaldor's model is formulated in continuous time. r0 is the initial income level, p is the rate of growth of money income (=the rate of inflation). r0ePt to obtain an expression for the savings ratio at timet, and rearranging, gives w is the rate of growth of wages, and ( ~) t = ( ~0°) ewt -pt (sw- Sr) +Sr. (p), where a is the rate of autonomous wage change and a. is the wage-price coefficient. 18) may then be written ( ~) t = ( ~:) ep{<> -l}t +at (sw -sr) +sr.

The hypothesis that exports and saving are positively relatedappears very robust. EXPORT-LED GROWTH The development literature abounds with models of export-led growth, and it is claimed that both historically and in the contemporary world economy trade has been the engine of growth. Chenery and Strout [12] remark that there is almost no example of a country which has, for a long period, sustained a growth rate substantially higher than its growth of exports, and the Pearson Commission [60] claimed that the growth rates of individual developing countries since 1950 correlate better with their export performance than with any other single economic indicator.

First, there is the grace period of the loan between its disbursement and the first repayment;:;. The longer the grace period the longer the recipient country will be enjoying the concessionary rate of interest on the whole value of the loan. Secondly, there is the maturity of the loan to consider. This is important because, when repayments start, the subsidy falls as the size of the outstanding loan 63 diminishes so that the longer the life of the loan the larger the subsidy through time. Through the technique of discounting, any combination of repayment terms can be brought to a common measure.

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